September 16, 2009

Jumping before you look

Post week one is the over react period. Owners all over the fantasy world are behaving like school girls, panicking, dropping quality players in order to pick up week one wonders. Take off your dresses and man up. Now is the time to stick to your draft plan, trust the analysis you did (or didn't) and stay the course. Question my authority? Let me present my case:

Mark Sanchez is NOT a top ten fantasy quarterback. With all due respect to Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco and their great success last year, neither was a top ten last year. They might be this year. Don't go out and trade a quality guy like Matt Schaub

The Houston Texans collective offensive unit is NOT a bust. Matt Schaub is will throw for more than 166 yards. Andre Johnson will lead the Texans in receiving yards and TDs. Steve Slaton will get more than 17 yards next week. Owen Daniels is not a worthless TE. Sure, the entire Texan offense had a crappy day on the field. But stay the course and reap the rewards.

Matt Forte is NOT a tier 2 or even tier 3 running back. Case in point, he did not catch a pass in the game vs Green Bay on Sunday night, but Jay Culter did throw 4 picks. You think the coaching staff will work with Culter and let him know that Forte is a nice check down, or that Greg Olson can catch the ball? If Earl Bennett leads the Bears in receptions more than twice more this year, I will be hugely surprised.

Jake Delhomme is NOT done. Although I think I am half nuts for even thinking it, Jake has had a couple bad games (bad games? more like nightmares), but if he gets his head straight, he can still be a quality secondary fantasy QB, so don't give up the boat quite yet, hang on to him another week or two and see what happens.

Jay Culter will NOT throw 64 INTs this year. The Packer defense is tough this year and Culter is new to the offense and his receivers, which contributed to his demise, but don't give up the ghost. Better numbers will come.

Ben Rothlisberger will NOT throw for 350 yards each game. Pittsburgh has been a run-first team for ages and will continue trying to be. I am not convinced that run first will work for this team, and perhaps Big Ben throwing the ball all over to a quality receiving corp is not a bad idea, but don't bank on it. Rothlisberger is a quality fantasy QB, but far from elite.

Devery Henderson is NOT the next coming of Larry Fitzgerald. Even with the unbelievable Drew Brees tossing the rock, Marques Colston will emerge as the favored target, and others like Lance Moore and Robert Meachem will get theirs too. So don't go trading Chad Ocho Cinco Johnson for Mr. Henderson.

Brandon Stokely will NOT catch a miraculous 87 yard TD pass again in his lifetime. Stokely will return to his 3 catches and 23 yards starting next week.

Today's Hottie: Shannon Ashley





No comments:

Post a Comment