November 07, 2009

Jay Clemons write a pretty entertaining column for SI.com. And like most fantasy guru's or experts or whatever you want to call them, you never agree with all of what they say. Jay writes before the weekend games on guys who are a lock for good performances. Here is this week's column and my comments:

QB Locks For 275 Yards and/or 3 TDs
1. David Garrard vs. Kansas City - I am not a believer in David Garrard, just ask my opponent last week who banked on Garrard above Matt Schaub and got burned.
2. Aaron Rodgers @ Tampa Bay - Rodgers should post a strong game against the helpless Bucs
3. Peyton Manning vs. Houston - Yeah, Manning just keeps rolling
4. Drew Brees vs. Carolina - This is another good bet, Brees keeps rolling
5. Matt Hasselbeck vs. Detroit - I picked up Hasselbeck and am starting him against the week Lion's D
6. Donovan McNabb vs. Dallas - I don't know about this one, a nice game, perhaps, but not outstanding, unless the Boy's defense lays down

RB Locks -- 120 Total Yards and/or 2 TDs
1. Michael Turner vs. Washington - Turner has started the season slowly, but has been coming on recently
2. Maurice Jones-Drew vs. Kansas City - double this and it might still be a lock
3. Brandon Jacobs vs. San Diego - will Jacobs start to roll? Some say so, I see this as a 50/50 shot
4. Ryan Grant @ Tampa Bay - If the line can block, Grant should make this a reality
5. Frank Gore vs. Tennessee - Gore should roll against Tennessee
6. Ronnie Brown @ New England - New England is ready for Brown and the Wildcat, not a chance
7. Joseph Addai vs. Houston - I think Manning will throw all day, but I don't think Addai will shine
8. Matt Forte vs. Arizona - He had good success against the Browns, one can hope against the Cards
9. DeAngelo Williams @ New Orleans - Carolina will be behind in this game, too far behind to run much
10. Chris Johnson @ San Francisco - Johnson has had extremely great games, but the 49'er D is good against the run
11. Julius Jones vs. Detroit - I am not a Jones fan, but Detroit's D stinks

WR Locks -- 110 Total Yards and/or 1 TD
1. Mike Sims-Walker vs. Kansas City - I am no Garrard fan, but he stands a chance here
2. Donald Driver @ Tampa Bay (assuming he plays) - I will put my money on the emerging Jennings this week
3. Antonio Bryant vs. Green Bay - Nope, not gonna happen, unless it is in garbage time
4. Reggie Wayne vs. Houston - Lock it in
5. Randy Moss vs. Miami - again, lock it in
6. Andre Johnson @ Indianapolis - If Schaub has time, bank it
7. Jeremy Maclin vs. Dallas - I don't know about this one, I won't hold my breath
8. Michael Crabtree vs. Tennessee - I could see this one happening, Crabtree will be a hot pick up next week
9. Santonio Holmes @ Denver - Nope, Denver is strong against the pass and Champ Bailey will man up
10. Marques Colston vs. Carolina - Bank it
11. Chad Ochocinco vs. Baltimore - Baltimore showed pride against Denver, and I think they will shut down the Bengals in an important divisional game
12. Deion Branch vs. Detroit - I am going with TJ for the numbers this week

Today's Hottie: Ashley Skiver





November 06, 2009

Reshaping a Team II

Well, yesterday's trades didn't work out, so here is round two.

My team remains as it was:
Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB
Matt Forte, Chi RB
Brandon Jacobs, NYG RB
Greg Jennings, GB WR
Devin Hester, Chi WR
John Carlson, Sea TE
Broncos D/ST, Den D/ST
Nick Folk, Dal K
Ronnie Brown, Mia RB
Beanie Wells, Ari RB
Antonio Bryant, TB WR
Kyle Orton, Den QB
Ricky Williams, Mia RB
Jermichael Finley, GB TE
Ryan Moats, Hou, RB
Sidney Rice, Min WR

Trade One:
Team A is still the same.
Aaron Rodgers, GB QB
LaDainian Tomlinson, SD RB
Reggie Bush, NO RB
Reggie Wayne, Ind WR
DeSean Jackson, Phi WR
Owen Daniels*, Hou TE
Bears D/ST, Chi D/ST
Mason Crosby, GB K
Donald Brown, Ind RB
Jonathan Stewart, Car RB
Joe Flacco, Bal QB
Justin Gage, Ten WR
Percy Harvin, Min WR
Jeremy Shockey, NO TE
Packers D/ST, GB D/ST
Darren McFadden, Oak RB
The cominations of a quality runningback and Jennings was not working. Now, I am proposing a combination of any of these two: Jacobs, Williams or perhaps Brown with Forte in the mix. I am still after Reggie Wayne.

Trade Two:
Again, this is a one for one, but instead of Matt Schaub, I am now looking for Tom Brady. This would be Forte for Brady. He proposed Steve Smith and Matt Schaub for Forte and Jennings, but I turned it down. I might make the deal now if Brady were subbed in for Schaub. There is a reason for that in trade three.

Trade Three:
Team C looks like this:
Eli Manning, NYG QB
Michael Turner, Atl RB
Knowshon Moreno, Den RB
Steve Smith, Car WR
Lee Evans, Buf WR
Donald Lee, GB TE
Giants D/ST, NYG D/ST
Jason Elam, Atl K
Hines Ward, Pit WR
Kellen Winslow, TB TE
Kerry Collins, Ten QB
Torry Holt, Jac WR
Stephen Gostkowski, NE K
Kevin Faulk, NE RB
Colts D/ST, Ind D/ST
Devery Henderson, NO WR
He still needs a quality QB, but stated to me, Tom Brady for Michael Turner would work for him. If Trade Two doesn't happen, I am going to propose Ben Rothlisberger and a little incentive, like Ryan Moats or Ricky Williams for Turner.

More news on the trade front later next week.

Today's Hottie: Jamie Damn







November 05, 2009

Reshaping a team

Ok, the season is about half-way done and my team is 3-5. But, interesting enough, playing in a weak division, I am only 1 game out of first. So, here is my team and some trades I proposed today to other teams to re-make my team.

Ben Roethlisberger, Pit QB
Matt Forte, Chi RB
Brandon Jacobs, NYG RB
Greg Jennings, GB WR
Devin Hester, Chi WR
John Carlson, Sea TE
Broncos D/ST, Den D/ST
Nick Folk, Dal K
Ronnie Brown, Mia RB
Beanie Wells, Ari RB
Antonio Bryant, TB WR
Kyle Orton, Den QB
Ricky Williams, Mia RB
Jermichael Finley, GB TE
Ryan Moats, Hou, RB
Sidney Rice, Min WR
I have great RB depth, but am weak with my front-line WRs. Jennings has under-achieved and Hester is a nice surprise, but inconsistent. Rothlisberger has been very solid and my pick up of the Denver D has helped, with the Finley/Carlson TE tandem doing ok (hoping for Finley to return soon). So, here are the thoughts I threw out there today.

Trade OneTeam A looks like this:
Aaron Rodgers, GB QB
LaDainian Tomlinson, SD RB
Reggie Bush, NO RB
Reggie Wayne, Ind WR
DeSean Jackson, Phi WR
Owen Daniels*, Hou TE
Bears D/ST, Chi D/ST
Mason Crosby, GB K
Donald Brown, Ind RB
Jonathan Stewart, Car RB
Joe Flacco, Bal QB
Justin Gage, Ten WR
Percy Harvin, Min WR
Jeremy Shockey, NO TE
Packers D/ST, GB D/ST
Darren McFadden, Oak RB
They need RB help, which I have lots of. I proposed Brandon Jacobs and Greg Jennings for Reggie Wayne. I am thinking it makes sense. He gets a decent tier 2 RB with more potential, and good back-fill for Wayne in Jennings with good potential as well.

Trade Two
Team B looks like this:
Drew Brees, NO QB
Joseph Addai, Ind RB
Tim Hightower, Ari RB
Larry Fitzgerald, Ari WR
Marques Colston, NO WR
Jason Witten, Dal TE
Eagles D/ST, Phi D/ST
Robbie Gould, Chi K
Willie Parker, Pit RB
LenDale White, Ten RB
Donald Driver, GB WR
Carson Palmer, Cin QB
Brent Celek, Phi TE
Mario Manningham, NYG WR
Jamal Lewis, Cle RB
Willis McGahee, Bal RB
Again, a team really needing RB help. I was going to offer Ricky Williams and Devin Hester for Marques Colston. With Driver and Hester as match up plays to combine with Fitzgerald, and addking Williams gives him good flexibility.

Trade Three
What team C looks like doesn't matter. He needs RB help and offered me Matt Schaub (he has Tom Terrific too) for Matt Forte, straight up. Good trade for me, but that leaves me with three solid QBs and I don't need them. So, trade three only happens along with Trade 4

Trade Four
Team D looks like this:
Eli Manning, NYG QB
Michael Turner, Atl RB
Knowshon Moreno, Den RB
Steve Smith, Car WR
Lee Evans, Buf WR
Donald Lee, GB TE
Giants D/ST, NYG D/ST
Jason Elam, Atl K
Hines Ward, Pit WR
Kellen Winslow, TB TE
Kerry Collins, Ten QB
Torry Holt, Jac WR
Stephen Gostkowski, NE K
Kevin Faulk, NE RB
Colts D/ST, Ind D/ST
Devery Henderson, NO WR
I would offer Ben Rothlisberger (or Schaub even) for Michael Turner straight up. To sweeten the deal, I could toss in Ryan Moats perhaps, to back fill on the RB side for him.

If all these trades go through, my team would look like this:
Matt Schaub - QB
Michael Turner - RB
Ronnie Brown - RB
Marques Colston - WR
Reggie Wayne - WR
John Carlson - TE
Denver D - Def
Nick Folke - K
Reserves:
Kyle Orton - QB
Beanie Wells - RB
Ryan Moats, Hou, RB (perhaps)
Antonio Bryant - WR
Sidney Rice - WR
Jermichael Finley - TE
I would need to pick up a reserve or two, running back maybe. But I like the team. Give me your thoughts.

Today's Hottie: Jamie Lee King







November 04, 2009

Time Out!

Hey all, busy evaluating some trades for my league. Will post on that tomorrow night. See ya tomorrow!

Today's Hottie: Jenny Poussin or on twitter








November 03, 2009

Desparate Team

Ok, I am in only one fantasy competative fantasy league this year. My first three draft picks in this 12 team, PPR league were 1) Matt Forte, 2) Greg Jennings, 3) Brandon Jacobs. Yeah, yeah, I know... my team sucks right? Well, not so fast. I have weathered the storm and gotten a little lucky and at 3-5, am only 1 game outta first in my division... amazing I know. Well, I am looking to improve my team.

Matt Forte - This is a clear case of sell high. With Forte having his best game of the year, admittedly against the one of the worst defenses in the league. He also has an ok matchup in week 9 against Arizona. My thought is to throw him out there in the hopes of picking up a solid #2 WR, perhaps even a low #1. Right now, I have the aforementioned Jennings, Devin Hester and my best pick up so far, Sidney Rice. If I could pick up a Marques Colston, Ocho Cinco, maybe even Roddy White.

Greg Jennings - My issue with Jennings is his lack of consistent targets so far this year. While the past couple weeks are promising, Aaron Rodgers truly spreads the ball around, and his lack of time doesn't let him get the ball to Jennings easily. They have changed his routes a bit, or maybe that was the game plan against Minnesota. If I trade him, and most likely in a package deal, I would want an elite WR or RB for him and Forte (or Jacobs). Vincent Jackson or Reggie Wayne. Chris Johnson or Maurice Jones-Drew.

Brandon Jacobs - Another owner convinced me to take Jacobs (Kris you know who you are) on draft day with the 3rd pick in the third round. I have been suffering from it ever since. Maybe I should make Kris take him off my hands. My issue with Jacobs is he complete lack of production, against showing signs of upticks, especially with Ahmad Bradshaw nicked up. I would readily package him with Forte or Jennings for Michael Turner or Andre Johnson.

Let me know your thoughts if you have one. Maybe all you got is a bunch of marbles upstairs? Haha! Let me hear ya anyhow!

Today's Hottie: Ashley Estrada








November 02, 2009

Ramblings

Injury Impacts - early injury updates from the weekend and their impact. There weren't many to talk about, so I threw in another couple interesting moves Monday.

Owen Daniels is done for the year with an ACL injury. Owens, the former Wisconsin Badger, was having a very solid season, and was being talked about in the same breath as Antonio Gates and Tony Gonzales. The impact will be to the check down game to Steve Slaton or Ryan Moats (more on that later). The other WRs might see a bit more action as well. Can anyone say Kevin Walters? I had to look up Daniels' back up, a guy named Joel Dreessen. Not much value there I think.

Steve Slaton got himself benched on Sunday after another fumble. In steps Ryan Moats, who instantly upgraded the to-date, lowly Texans running game. Combine these factors and a no-commit statement from the Texans today and Ryan Moats will be a hot comodity on the waiver wire.

Brian Westbrook should be back next week according to reports. He could have been ready against the Giants, but the Eagles wanted to be cautious. The fantasy impact is to LeSean McCoy, who posted a nice game in substituting for Westbrook.

What's up? - Some players whose stock is up and are worth notice.

Chris Chambers was let go today in a surprise move by the Chargers. Given the All-World status Vincent Jackson is pushing, and the complete lack of production out of Chambers, it is not a complete surprise. Malcom Floyd might be a good pickup as a flex or bye-week replacement if you need help.

Roy Williams had a couple grabs and a TD in coming back from a rib injury, seeming to have lost his mojo to Miles Austin. That has not really changed, unless perhaps Dallas will start playing to Roy's strengths (Slants and other routes that use his large body well). Not much value right now, but bears watching.

Short Column today, more tomorrow. See ya!

Today's Hottie: Katie Lohmann







November 01, 2009

Sunday Observations

It was another interesting Sunday in the NFL.

1) Both Aaron Rodger and Brett Favre played excellent games in the afternoon highlight. 7 TDs and over 500 yards between them, and ZERO INTs. Can't play much better on both sides of the ball.

2) Greg Jennings had a mini-break out game, posting 8 receptions, 88 yards and a TD. The reason it could be a break through, is he FINALLY was a big part of the offense.

3) Ugly game for Kyle Orton. Guess the pass defense of the Ravens is not that bad and there is still some pride in that unit.

4) Ray Rice is making his case for consideration in the fantasy back elite, posting another 100+ and a score game.

5) Have to acknowledge the surprising game from Ryan Moats. Did anyone hear if Steve Slaton got hurt or something? Regardless, 150+ combined yards and 3 TDs is an excellent game.

6) Was there a TO sighting in Buffalo?

7) Cleveland really, really stinks. Derek Anderson makes poor decisions.

8) Are the Browns the team that makes RBs healthy? First Ryan Grant... now Matt Forte. 120+ combined and 2 TDs.

9) Solid QB work in the Dallas v Seattle game. 500 yards and 5 TDs, no INTs for Romo and Hasselbeck. Solid.

10) The RBBC in Dallas is killing the value of all three, Barber, Jones and Choice.

11) I was surprised by the lack of production out of Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams against the Jets without Kris Jenkins.

12) Quietly, Thomas Jones is posting a really great year. Not bad for a guy who was drafted in perhaps the 4th round in drafts this year.

13) If Reggie Wayne isn't the best WR in the league right now... slap me. Consistently good. Yeah, some of that is Peyton Manning, but Wayne runs great routes and has great hands. Sweet 12 grabs with 147 yards and a score.

14) Michael Crabtree is going to be a special player. No training camp and clearly the best WR on the team. Have to tip my hat to Vernon Davis and Alex Smith, not special numbers, but acknowledging the arrival.

15) Strong game for the entire Eagles Offense. McNabb 3 TDs, DJack 86 and a score, Brent Celek with a solid 60+ and a TD, and Jeremy Maclin with a TD as well, then throw in LeSean McCoy with 90 combined and a TD. When looked at on paper, this team is getting scary good on offense.

16) Congrats to Steven Jackson. He has been putting up an incredible season on a bad team and finally scored, with 150+ yards. Stud.

17) How bad are both St. Louis and Detroit? Sans Jackson mentioned above, there isn't another fantasy relevent player on either team.

18) The Giants are looking very human after a solid start to the year. It is like the Saints beat the snot outta them and now they can stand up. Eli and company are really struggling to post fantasy numbers like they did early in the year.

19) Darren Sproles is still the more dynamic player, but I have to admit (pulling fork out of Tomlinson), it seems LaDainian still has something left... at least against is favor team, the Raiders.

20) JaMarcus Russell still sucks as a QB.

21) Wow, another powerful game for Chris Johnson. 200+ and 2 scores. Are you kidding me? And I have to admit the HUGE mistake I made this draft year, when at slot 3, I picked Matt Forte over MJD. I will be eating crow all year as Jones-Drew stuffs it down my throat to the tune this week of 175+ and 2 scores.

22) VY started for Tennessee and they won, but he is not any more fantasy relevent than he was before they benched him last year. Ala Mike Vick. Seldom posted game fantasy numbers.

23) When will the Jaqs admit David Garrard is an average NFL QB at best? He does nothing to make his team better, much less be a steady fantasy guy. Ask Steve (my opponent this week) how he likes starting him this week with Tom Brady on bye.

24) There is no GREAT QB in the history of the NFL, Brett Favre included, that can play so horribly as Kurt Warner. 5 or was that 6 turn overs against Carolina?

25) DeAngelo Williams is making his case as solid top 8 fantasy back again this year. Guess I was wrong at the start of the year, thinking last year was a fluke, one year wonder. Nice game for Jonathon Steward too.

Today's Hottie: Katy Johnson